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IDC predicts: enterprises will run 60% of AI workloads on open source models by 2028

IT之家 On November 2, IDC (International Data Corporation) last week released its 250 FutureScape 2027 annual predictions spanning 25 research areas.

IT之家 On November 2, IDC (International Data Corporation) last week released its 250 FutureScape 2027 annual predictions spanning 25 research areas.

The firm noted thatenterprises will run 60% of AI workloads on open source models by 2028, and will use model routing strategies to reduce costs and hedge against vendor lock-in risks; faster-moving enterprises will be the first to resolve the problem of agent inference cost overruns.

Among the Global 2000 (G2000) companies,60% will achieve AI-first operation of the majority of their business processes by 2029, while this share is only 13% today; by 2028, 70% of these giants will have the capability to continuously validate AI agent decisions.

G2000 companies that fail to establish agent emergency stop switches in production environments will face, by 2028,25% higher liability insurance premiums and double the exposure to major audit issues. 75% of G2000 companies will include liability clauses for agent autonomous behavior in technology supply contracts by 2028.

On employment, G2000 companies will drive 30% of junior and mid-level execution roles to shift toward AI agent supervision and orchestration related roles by 2029. Among mid-market companies with 1,000 to 4,999 employees,about half expect the number of junior position employees to increase over the next 18 months, while only 17% believe it will decrease.

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